Presentation of the centre
Following presentation was held at the IEW/ETSAP workshops of June 2007
at the Stanford University Palo AltoIntegrating Externalities in Optimisation of Future Energy Systems
Corresponding author: "Kenneth Karlsson" <Kenneth.karlsson@risoe.dk>
Fossil fuel related air pollution
influences both the natural
environment and human health. The particle pollution from cars and
trucks alone is considered to cause more deaths than traffic accidents.
This has lead to the establishment of a Danish Centre of Energy,
Environment and Health (CEEH) which is supported by the Program
Commission for Energy and Environment under the Danish Council for
Strategic Research. The objective of CEEH is to establish an
interdisciplinary based system to support optimal future planning of
energy production and usage with respect to costs related to the
natural environment and human health. To ensure the needed
interdisciplinary approach the centre includes researchers from
meteorology, air pollution, environment, energy, physiology/health and
economy. The main outcome of the centre is an integrated regional
economic model system including components for air pollution chemistry
and dispersion down to urban and sub-urban scales, and model components
of the impacts on public health and the external environment. While the
system will be designed to minimize the grand costs of Danish energy
systems, it is obvious that the system will require boundary conditions
as input. These will be obtained from a global energy system model and
of global air pollution models.
Keywords: Future energy systems, pricing externalities, health impacts, environmental impacts, air pollution modelling
Objective
The objective of CEEH is to establish an interdisciplinary based system to support optimal future planning of energy production and usage with respect to costs related to the natural environment and human healthFocus is on Denmark and the Nordic Countries
Centre Partners
Niels Bohr Institute (NBI) - University of Copenhagen (UoC)Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI)
National Environment Research Institute (NERI) - University of Aarhus (AU)
National Institute of Public Health (NIPH) - University of Southern Denmark (SDU)
Risø National Laboratory - Technical University of Denmark (DTU)
Centre for Applied Health Services Research and Technology Assessment (CAST)
- University of Southern Denmark (SDU)
Institute for Public Health - University of Aarhus (AU)
International Collaboration Partners
Dong Energy (Denmark)University of Queensland (Australia)
Freie Universität Berlin (Germany)
Finnish Meteorological Institute
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Laxenburg, Austria)
CEREA (Marne la Vallét, France)
Los Alamos Laboratory (New Mexico, USA)
University of Cologne (Germany)
Energy Research Centre of the Netherlands
University of Leicester (UK)
VITO (Boeretang, Belgium)
ENEA (Rome, Italy)
ICMMG (Novosibirsk, Russia)
Vienna University of Technology (Austria)
RIVM (Bilthoven, Netherlands)
Institute of North Ecology problems (Russia)
University Medical Centre, ERASMUS MC, (Netherlands)
Organisation

Scientific disciplines

Model components
Energy-system models (e.g. Balmorel and MARKAL-TIMES / TIAM)Danish Atmospheric Chemical Transport models (DEHM, Enviro-Hirlam, and more)
Physiological relationships (dose-response functions)
Statistical models (exposure vs frequency of decease and environmental effects)
Health cost models (e.g. prizes for one life-year)
Integrated modelsystems (e.g. EVA = Economic Value of Air pollution)
CEEH model flow diagram

Assessment of air pollution in CEEH
Assessments of air pollution related damages on human health - and the subsequent costs - based on ExternE - Externalities of Energy
The CEEH chain impact

Enviro-Hirlam system
Operational areas covered by the
Enviro – HIRLAM system today: 50x50km horizontal down to 1.4x1.4km
for Denmark. Vertically it goes into the stratosphere. Online
aerosol-meteorology interaction.

Enviro-Hirlam modeling Scheme
DEHM System
- Full 3D advection/diffusion
- 63 chemical species
- 130 chemical reactions
- Two-way nested modelling over Europe

Quantification of Health Effects – Dose Response Functions

Energy System Modelling – 2005 to 2050

Modelling Global and Regional Energy Systems

Example results from Energy System Modelling

Seeking Collaboration Partners
Summary




